Energy Demand Projections 2030-2040
Initial Lunar Bases (NASA, ESA, private companies): 30–50 MW for research and habitation bases.
Small-Scale Mining (Water Ice, Regolith Processing): 10–20 MW for pilot mining and ISRU operations.
Total Projected Demand: 50–100 MW.
2030-2040 (Expansion Phase)
Multiple Lunar Bases: 100–200 MW as more countries and private entities establish permanent research and habitation modules.
Mining and Resource Extraction: 200–500 MW as larger mining operations (helium-3, metals, water) ramp up.
ISRU and Infrastructure Development: 50–100 MW for larger-scale construction and resource utilization.
Lunar Tourism and Commercial Ventures: 20–50 MW to support tourist infrastructure.
Spaceports and Telecommunication: 50–100 MW for communication networks and transport hubs.
Total Projected Demand: 400–800 MW.
Long-Term Projections 2040-2050 & Beyond
Multiple Large Lunar Bases: Powering research, habitation, and industry could require 500–1,000 MW as lunar settlements expand.
Massive Mining Operations: Large-scale helium-3 mining, and metal extraction could drive demand up to 500–1,000 MW.
ISRU and Construction: Continuous development of lunar infrastructure (roads, habitats, manufacturing plants) could require 200–500 MW.
Lunar Tourism: Fully developed lunar tourism with multiple facilities may need 100–200 MW.
Total Projected Demand: 180 –2,500 MW.
The graph above shows the projected growth in energy demand on the lunar surface from 2025 to 2050. Starting with approximately 100 MW by 2030, lunar energy demand is expected to rise sharply to 400 MW by 2040, driven by increased mining, resource utilization, and habitation activities. By 2050, as large-scale industrial operations and settlements develop, energy demand could reach 1,500-2,500 MW, reflecting a mature and expanding lunar infrastructure.
This projection highlights the growing need for reliable power sources, making technologies like HTGR critical for future lunar operations.